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Red93
461716.4
481430.1
502427.8
Blue117
131040.3
293531.8
490730.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions579920408012014016093117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.13.5
23.126.6
Auto2.9
Teleop21.7
End5.4
blue by 10.2
40.31.5
32.634.1
Auto11.1
Teleop18.9
End10.3
Second
5024
#19
27.83.5
23.727.2
Auto7.6
Teleop15.4
End4.8
blue by 4.0
2935
#17
31.81.5
28.129.6
Auto10.1
Teleop15.2
End6.5
Third
4617
#24
16.43.5
14.818.3
Auto4.1
Teleop12.1
End0.2
blue by 14.5
30.82.4
29.431.9
Auto11.9
Teleop14.7
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned62%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsEarned