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Red35
406921.2
567214.0
452620.9
Blue96
461716.4
128528.1
131040.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69792040601001201403596

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4069
#26
21.22.2
25.723.5
Auto6.9
Teleop12.2
End2.2
blue by 19.1
40.31.0
34.135.1
Auto11.1
Teleop18.9
End10.3
Second
4526
#20
20.93.7
23.419.7
Auto8.2
Teleop9.6
End3.1
blue by 7.2
1285
#16
28.11.0
23.024.0
Auto6.5
Teleop16.9
End4.7
Third
5672
#29
14.03.7
19.415.7
Auto3.1
Teleop9.0
End1.9
blue by 2.3
4617
#24
16.41.7
18.320.0
Auto4.1
Teleop12.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsMissed64%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned