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Red125
491725.8
131040.3
270630.1
Blue90
18833.4
493614.7
580729.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7776809010011012590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.33.7
25.128.8
Auto11.1
Teleop18.9
End10.3
red by 7.0
188
#22
33.41.3
30.531.8
Auto12.6
Teleop16.0
End4.8
Second
30.13.7
24.227.9
Auto10.2
Teleop14.6
End5.4
red by 0.8
29.31.4
26.227.7
Auto10.0
Teleop14.5
End4.8
Third
4917
#23
25.85.1
25.130.2
Auto8.1
Teleop15.6
End2.1
red by 11.1
4936
#28
14.71.8
17.018.8
Auto2.0
Teleop10.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed