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Red62
496813.5
481430.1
471617.1
Blue45
493614.7
86526.6
567214.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5974020401001201401606245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.10.3
24.424.6
Auto2.9
Teleop21.7
End5.4
red by 3.5
865
#15
26.62.6
25.322.7
Auto8.9
Teleop14.7
End3.0
Second
4716
#10
17.10.3
22.722.9
Auto6.7
Teleop7.8
End2.7
red by 2.4
4936
#28
14.74.4
21.016.6
Auto2.0
Teleop10.1
End2.6
Third
4968
#31
13.50.3
12.712.9
Auto2.4
Teleop10.0
End1.0
blue by 0.5
5672
#29
14.04.4
23.318.9
Auto3.1
Teleop9.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsMissed78%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed