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Red70
218523.8
128528.1
18833.4
Blue100
471617.1
490730.8
132533.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions858670809010011070100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#22
33.41.5
33.632.1
Auto12.6
Teleop16.0
End4.8
blue by 0.1
1325
#13
33.50.6
31.731.1
Auto12.5
Teleop14.8
End6.2
Second
1285
#16
28.11.5
24.823.2
Auto6.5
Teleop16.9
End4.7
blue by 2.7
30.80.8
33.032.2
Auto11.9
Teleop14.7
End4.2
Third
2185
#12
23.81.5
24.523.0
Auto8.2
Teleop13.2
End2.5
red by 6.7
4716
#10
17.10.8
19.018.2
Auto6.7
Teleop7.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsMissed86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed