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Red55
471617.1
77232.1
415216.6
Blue74
354319.7
406921.2
86526.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706602040801001201405574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
772
#5
32.11.2
32.631.5
Auto10.5
Teleop18.0
End3.5
red by 5.5
865
#15
26.60.3
26.026.3
Auto8.9
Teleop14.7
End3.0
Second
4716
#10
17.11.6
18.216.6
Auto6.7
Teleop7.8
End2.7
blue by 4.1
4069
#26
21.20.3
23.023.3
Auto6.9
Teleop12.2
End2.2
Third
4152
#32
16.61.6
16.715.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.9
End2.8
blue by 3.1
3543
#21
19.70.4
15.515.9
Auto4.2
Teleop13.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsMissed82%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed