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Red114
481430.1
218523.8
124153.0
Blue90
132533.5
491725.8
128528.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84856070809010011012011490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.02.3
42.344.6
Auto15.8
Teleop31.0
End6.1
red by 19.5
1325
#13
33.50.2
30.030.2
Auto12.5
Teleop14.8
End6.2
Second
30.13.5
18.922.4
Auto2.9
Teleop21.7
End5.4
red by 2.0
1285
#16
28.10.2
21.421.7
Auto6.5
Teleop16.9
End4.7
Third
2185
#12
23.82.3
21.523.8
Auto8.2
Teleop13.2
End2.5
blue by 2.0
4917
#23
25.80.4
30.230.6
Auto8.1
Teleop15.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed