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Red81
354319.7
567214.0
22929.1
Blue91
490730.8
270630.1
18833.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions521070204060801201401608191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
229
#25
29.11.5
28.029.5
Auto6.3
Teleop18.0
End4.8
blue by 4.3
188
#22
33.40.3
33.232.9
Auto12.6
Teleop16.0
End4.8
Second
3543
#21
19.71.7
18.019.7
Auto4.2
Teleop13.3
End2.1
blue by 11.1
30.80.3
31.531.2
Auto11.9
Teleop14.7
End4.2
Third
5672
#29
14.01.7
12.314.0
Auto3.1
Teleop9.0
End1.9
blue by 16.1
30.10.3
30.730.4
Auto10.2
Teleop14.6
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsEarned