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Red199
131040.3
124153.0
293531.8
Blue102
491725.8
270630.1
355028.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1709350150200250199102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.00.2
53.053.2
Auto15.8
Teleop31.0
End6.1
red by 22.8
30.10.1
30.230.1
Auto10.2
Teleop14.6
End5.4
Second
40.30.2
40.440.6
Auto11.1
Teleop18.9
End10.3
red by 12.0
3550
#14
28.30.1
28.428.3
Auto10.5
Teleop12.8
End5.1
Third
2935
#17
31.80.2
31.832.0
Auto10.1
Teleop15.2
End6.5
red by 6.0
4917
#23
25.80.1
25.925.8
Auto8.1
Teleop15.6
End2.1