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Red82
260934.1
592116.9
540647.7
Blue65
434328.2
132531.6
107523.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105830501502002503003508265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.70.0
47.747.7
Auto11.6
Teleop25.0
End11.1
red by 16.1
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto10.9
Teleop15.9
End4.8
Second
2609
#23
34.10.0
34.134.1
Auto11.3
Teleop18.8
End4.0
red by 5.9
4343
#29
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto7.3
Teleop16.0
End4.9
Third
5921
#19
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto8.5
Teleop6.2
End2.3
blue by 6.7
1075
#26
23.60.0
23.623.6
Auto8.1
Teleop12.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach odds91%Breach odds
Capture
8%Capture odds3%Capture odds