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Red93
132531.6
497636.9
78126.7
Blue89
124161.8
316114.3
86524.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9710502003004005006007009389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto11.1
Teleop19.5
End6.3
blue by 24.9
61.80.0
61.861.8
Auto17.0
Teleop39.6
End5.1
Second
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto10.9
Teleop15.9
End4.8
red by 7.0
865
#22
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto5.5
Teleop15.3
End3.8
Third
781
#24
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto6.5
Teleop16.2
End4.1
red by 12.5
3161
#17
14.30.0
14.314.3
Auto1.9
Teleop11.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds89%Breach odds
Capture
8%Capture odds26%Capture odds