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Red91
124161.8
493923.6
540647.7
Blue101
461835.2
499217.5
111461.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1411135010020025091101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.80.0
61.861.8
Auto17.0
Teleop39.6
End5.1
red by 0.7
61.10.0
61.161.1
Auto19.8
Teleop29.5
End11.8
Second
47.70.0
47.747.7
Auto11.6
Teleop25.0
End11.1
red by 12.5
4618
#10
35.20.0
35.235.2
Auto7.7
Teleop21.3
End6.2
Third
4939
#13
23.60.0
23.623.6
Auto3.0
Teleop15.6
End5.1
red by 6.1
4992
#28
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto4.0
Teleop10.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach odds91%Breach odds
Capture
67%Capture odds54%Capture odds