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Red164
467857.2
86524.6
132531.6
Blue63
434328.2
499217.5
493923.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1266205010015020016463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4678
#20
57.20.0
57.257.2
Auto16.5
Teleop32.8
End8.0
red by 29.0
4343
#29
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto7.3
Teleop16.0
End4.9
Second
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto10.9
Teleop15.9
End4.8
red by 8.0
4939
#13
23.60.0
23.623.6
Auto3.0
Teleop15.6
End5.1
Third
865
#22
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto5.5
Teleop15.3
End3.8
red by 7.1
4992
#28
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto4.0
Teleop10.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds38%Breach odds
Capture
22%Capture odds2%Capture odds