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Red120
299421.2
540647.7
368347.0
Blue86
497636.9
634215.6
128534.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1268305010015020025012086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.70.0
47.747.7
Auto11.6
Teleop25.0
End11.1
red by 10.8
36.90.0
36.936.9
Auto11.1
Teleop19.5
End6.3
Second
47.00.0
47.047.0
Auto9.6
Teleop27.5
End9.9
red by 12.6
1285
#16
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto8.5
Teleop19.1
End6.9
Third
21.20.0
21.221.2
Auto5.6
Teleop11.9
End3.7
red by 5.6
6342
#27
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach odds83%Breach odds
Capture
35%Capture odds15%Capture odds