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Red50
148218.8
285227.1
471819.8
Blue19
77120.1
492011.9
459414.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70490204060801001205019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2852
#14
27.11.7
28.927.2
Auto6.9
Teleop17.0
End3.2
red by 7.0
771
#21
20.13.5
17.213.7
Auto5.5
Teleop13.1
End1.5
Second
4718
#22
19.81.7
16.414.7
Auto4.9
Teleop11.8
End3.1
red by 5.1
4594
#41
14.83.5
16.412.9
Auto4.2
Teleop8.7
End1.8
Third
1482
#27
18.81.7
19.818.2
Auto1.4
Teleop13.8
End3.5
red by 6.9
4920
#39
11.93.5
17.213.6
Auto3.2
Teleop6.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
48%Breach oddsEarned38%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed