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Red49
280921.7
494627.6
577621.8
Blue30
558924.9
492011.9
154722.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66480204060801001204930

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.61.3
21.920.6
Auto7.3
Teleop16.9
End3.4
red by 2.7
5589
#12
24.92.2
16.814.6
Auto7.9
Teleop13.6
End3.5
Second
5776
#30
21.81.3
19.618.3
Auto4.6
Teleop12.9
End4.3
blue by 0.3
1547
#24
22.12.2
19.217.0
Auto9.6
Teleop8.7
End3.8
Third
2809
#16
21.71.3
19.518.2
Auto8.9
Teleop9.8
End3.0
red by 9.8
4920
#39
11.92.2
13.611.5
Auto3.2
Teleop6.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsMissed48%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed