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Red67
148218.8
86523.1
181519.1
Blue90
591124.3
558924.9
494627.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585840507080906790

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#28
23.10.5
21.921.5
Auto8.6
Teleop11.9
End2.6
blue by 4.5
27.63.7
19.923.6
Auto7.3
Teleop16.9
End3.4
Second
1815
#35
19.10.5
16.916.5
Auto5.8
Teleop11.2
End2.0
blue by 5.9
5589
#12
24.93.7
18.322.0
Auto7.9
Teleop13.6
End3.5
Third
1482
#27
18.80.5
17.316.8
Auto1.4
Teleop13.8
End3.5
blue by 5.5
5911
#17
24.33.7
18.722.4
Auto8.2
Teleop12.5
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsEarned66%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed