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Red104
495123.3
471819.8
569930.2
Blue74
260931.2
503915.5
280921.7
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions486602040608010012010474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.24.5
21.926.4
Auto6.6
Teleop17.5
End6.2
blue by 1.0
31.21.4
27.528.9
Auto10.3
Teleop15.8
End5.1
Second
4951
#20
23.34.5
15.820.3
Auto6.1
Teleop14.9
End2.3
red by 1.6
2809
#16
21.71.4
18.720.2
Auto8.9
Teleop9.8
End3.0
Third
4718
#22
19.84.5
11.215.6
Auto4.9
Teleop11.8
End3.1
red by 4.3
5039
#38
15.51.4
14.916.3
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsEarned73%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed