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Red61
577621.8
459414.8
132529.7
Blue63
568020.1
503915.5
78119.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6752204060801006163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1325
#10
29.70.2
29.128.9
Auto10.5
Teleop15.5
End3.8
red by 9.7
5680
#23
20.11.1
19.420.5
Auto3.6
Teleop11.5
End4.9
Second
5776
#30
21.80.2
18.318.1
Auto4.6
Teleop12.9
End4.3
red by 2.8
781
#29
19.01.1
17.418.5
Auto3.5
Teleop13.1
End2.4
Third
4594
#41
14.80.2
15.715.5
Auto4.2
Teleop8.7
End1.8
blue by 0.8
5039
#38
15.51.1
16.317.4
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned42%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed