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Red87
77120.1
368343.7
494627.6
Blue70
260931.2
451922.8
577621.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85714060801001208770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.70.4
38.237.8
Auto9.1
Teleop22.9
End11.7
red by 12.4
31.20.7
30.630.0
Auto10.3
Teleop15.8
End5.1
Second
27.60.4
25.224.9
Auto7.3
Teleop16.9
End3.4
red by 4.8
4519
#25
22.80.7
22.221.5
Auto5.1
Teleop14.2
End3.5
Third
771
#21
20.10.4
16.816.5
Auto5.5
Teleop13.1
End1.5
blue by 1.7
5776
#30
21.80.7
18.117.4
Auto4.6
Teleop12.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed