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Red66
503915.5
591124.3
459414.8
Blue123
400134.4
368343.7
270624.2
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4510020608012014066123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5911
#17
24.30.4
21.121.5
Auto8.2
Teleop12.5
End3.6
blue by 19.4
43.73.0
37.840.8
Auto9.1
Teleop22.9
End11.7
Second
5039
#38
15.50.4
16.817.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End3.4
blue by 18.9
34.43.0
32.035.0
Auto10.1
Teleop18.9
End5.4
Third
4594
#41
14.80.4
14.114.5
Auto4.2
Teleop8.7
End1.8
blue by 9.4
24.23.0
19.022.0
Auto5.5
Teleop12.8
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsMissed87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned