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Red60
132529.7
148218.8
88617.3
Blue71
509212.9
451922.8
471819.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7052204060801006071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1325
#10
29.70.6
29.629.0
Auto10.5
Teleop15.5
End3.8
red by 6.9
4519
#25
22.80.3
21.521.8
Auto5.1
Teleop14.2
End3.5
Second
1482
#27
18.80.6
17.817.3
Auto1.4
Teleop13.8
End3.5
blue by 1.0
4718
#22
19.80.3
18.018.2
Auto4.9
Teleop11.8
End3.1
Third
886
#33
17.30.6
18.117.5
Auto4.9
Teleop8.8
End3.6
red by 4.4
5092
#37
12.90.3
13.714.0
Auto5.5
Teleop8.0
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsEarned47%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed