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Semifinal 1-22016 Greater Toronto Central Regional
Red116
400134.4
368343.7
503915.5
Blue97
18830.5
494627.6
451922.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141008012014011697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3683
#1
43.70.0
43.4→43.3
Auto9.1
Teleop22.9
End11.7
red by 13.1
188
#19
30.50.1
30.6→30.5
Auto9.0
Teleop16.8
End4.7
Second
4001
#4
34.40.0
34.1→34.0
Auto10.1
Teleop18.9
End5.4
red by 6.8
4946
#6
27.60.1
27.7→27.6
Auto7.3
Teleop16.9
End3.4
Third
5039
#38
15.50.0
15.2→15.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End3.4
blue by 7.3
4519
#25
22.80.1
23.0→22.8
Auto5.1
Teleop14.2
End3.5