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Red80
558015.0
612524.6
124139.3
Blue41
50947.2
503125.4
452521.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions664901001508041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.31.5
26.828.3
Auto9.3
Teleop24.3
End5.7
red by 13.9
5031
#19
25.41.0
19.118.1
Auto6.8
Teleop14.5
End4.1
Second
6125
#21
24.61.5
16.317.9
Auto6.9
Teleop13.4
End4.2
red by 3.6
4525
#36
21.01.0
19.018.0
Auto3.0
Teleop14.3
End3.7
Third
5580
#38
15.01.5
18.019.6
Auto5.4
Teleop7.4
End2.2
red by 7.8
5094
#49
7.21.0
12.011.0
Auto0.4
Teleop6.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsMissed29%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed