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Red74
580726.2
434322.4
29628.3
Blue107
74623.9
11848.4
478323.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions609505015020074107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
296
#15
28.30.7
22.423.1
Auto8.9
Teleop13.3
End6.1
blue by 20.1
118
#4
48.41.7
46.948.7
Auto12.2
Teleop30.9
End5.3
Second
5807
#32
26.20.8
18.519.3
Auto9.7
Teleop12.8
End3.7
red by 2.3
746
#14
23.91.7
21.222.9
Auto6.8
Teleop13.2
End4.0
Third
4343
#33
22.40.8
26.227.0
Auto6.7
Teleop11.9
End3.8
blue by 1.4
4783
#13
23.81.7
18.420.1
Auto8.9
Teleop10.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
67%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed