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Red90
311730.2
493920.4
130538.7
Blue81
473221.9
263424.8
503125.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8158020401001201401609081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1305
#10
38.71.7
29.531.2
Auto6.8
Teleop26.4
End5.5
red by 13.3
5031
#19
25.42.4
22.524.9
Auto6.8
Teleop14.5
End4.1
Second
3117
#28
30.21.7
29.230.9
Auto6.7
Teleop17.1
End6.4
red by 5.4
2634
#35
24.82.4
19.021.4
Auto11.0
Teleop11.0
End2.8
Third
4939
#24
20.41.7
16.017.7
Auto3.7
Teleop13.6
End3.1
blue by 1.5
4732
#27
21.92.4
18.120.5
Auto7.9
Teleop9.6
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsEarned56%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed