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Red40
219813.7
558015.0
124614.9
Blue41
128520.2
425217.0
401513.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475802040801001204041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5580
#38
15.02.5
18.215.7
Auto5.4
Teleop7.4
End2.2
blue by 5.2
1285
#34
20.22.1
22.720.6
Auto3.8
Teleop13.1
End3.3
Second
1246
#47
14.92.5
16.914.4
Auto6.6
Teleop7.0
End1.3
blue by 2.1
4252
#39
17.02.1
17.615.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.2
End1.7
Third
2198
#42
13.72.5
12.39.8
Auto0.2
Teleop11.9
End1.6
red by 0.7
4015
#37
13.02.1
14.712.6
Auto4.1
Teleop9.4
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
46%Breach oddsMissed60%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed