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Qual 592016 Greater Toronto East Regional
Red86
311730.2
580726.2
614011.5
Blue97
111451.1
219813.7
430822.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions658120401001208697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3117
#28
30.21.2
30.5→31.6
Auto6.7
Teleop17.1
End6.4
blue by 20.8
1114
#7
51.11.6
47.6→49.2
Auto16.8
Teleop26.2
End8.1
Second
5807
#32
26.21.2
22.6→23.7
Auto9.7
Teleop12.8
End3.7
red by 3.4
4308
#25
22.91.6
18.4→20.0
Auto4.2
Teleop14.8
End3.8
Third
6140
#43
11.51.2
11.8→13.0
Auto5.4
Teleop3.4
End2.7
blue by 2.2
2198
#42
13.71.6
10.6→12.2
Auto0.2
Teleop11.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsEarned50%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed