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Red76
132530.0
218520.4
74623.9
Blue74
263424.8
425217.0
559624.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions796120401001207674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.2
28.928.6
Auto12.0
Teleop14.7
End3.3
red by 5.2
2634
#35
24.81.2
22.523.7
Auto11.0
Teleop11.0
End2.8
Second
746
#14
23.90.4
25.825.3
Auto6.8
Teleop13.2
End4.0
blue by 0.3
5596
#29
24.21.2
24.225.4
Auto5.8
Teleop12.1
End6.2
Third
2185
#30
20.40.4
20.019.6
Auto1.8
Teleop14.7
End3.9
red by 3.4
4252
#39
17.01.2
15.716.9
Auto5.1
Teleop10.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned59%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed