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Red63
218520.4
371021.5
558015.0
Blue70
132530.0
614011.5
493920.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57632040801006370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3710
#31
21.50.6
20.421.0
Auto8.9
Teleop10.6
End2.0
blue by 8.5
30.00.3
28.629.0
Auto12.0
Teleop14.7
End3.3
Second
2185
#30
20.40.6
19.620.2
Auto1.8
Teleop14.7
End3.9
Level
4939
#24
20.40.5
18.218.7
Auto3.7
Teleop13.6
End3.1
Third
5580
#38
15.00.6
16.517.1
Auto5.4
Teleop7.4
End2.2
red by 3.5
6140
#43
11.50.5
13.013.5
Auto5.4
Teleop3.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsEarned57%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed