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Red86
497628.0
473221.9
470420.6
Blue86
542816.5
580726.2
74623.9
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7167204060801001208686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.0
Auto6.7
Teleop18.3
End3.0
red by 1.8
5807
#32
26.2
Auto9.7
Teleop12.8
End3.7
Second
4732
#27
21.9
Auto7.9
Teleop9.6
End4.5
blue by 2.0
746
#14
23.9
Auto6.8
Teleop13.2
End4.0
Third
4704
#22
20.6
Auto5.6
Teleop10.8
End4.2
red by 4.1
5428
#44
16.5
Auto7.5
Teleop7.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed