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Red77
74623.9
559624.2
107520.6
Blue102
503628.0
11848.4
154726.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66118408010014016018077102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5596
#29
24.20.4
26.126.6
Auto5.8
Teleop12.1
End6.2
blue by 24.2
118
#4
48.40.4
51.951.5
Auto12.2
Teleop30.9
End5.3
Second
746
#14
23.90.5
25.325.9
Auto6.8
Teleop13.2
End4.0
blue by 4.1
5036
#12
28.00.4
27.827.4
Auto6.4
Teleop14.4
End7.3
Third
1075
#16
20.60.4
20.621.0
Auto4.8
Teleop13.3
End2.5
blue by 6.0
1547
#26
26.60.3
26.926.6
Auto10.9
Teleop11.7
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed