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Red160
11848.4
205661.8
74623.9
Blue121
130538.7
132530.0
580726.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180106150200250160121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.80.2
63.262.9
Auto18.8
Teleop34.5
End8.4
red by 23.1
1305
#10
38.70.0
38.738.7
Auto6.8
Teleop26.4
End5.5
Second
118
#4
48.40.2
49.849.6
Auto12.2
Teleop30.9
End5.3
red by 18.4
30.00.0
29.930.0
Auto12.0
Teleop14.7
End3.3
Third
746
#14
23.90.3
25.625.3
Auto6.8
Teleop13.2
End4.0
blue by 2.3
5807
#32
26.20.0
26.226.2
Auto9.7
Teleop12.8
End3.7