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Final 12016 Waterloo Regional
Red115
205660.4
111456.0
591223.4
Blue189
61048.9
124162.1
356021.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187169050100150250300350115189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#2
60.41.1
61.2→60.2
Auto17.6
Teleop31.7
End11.1
blue by 1.7
1241
#4
62.10.2
61.7→61.8
Auto16.0
Teleop37.9
End8.2
Second
1114
#1
56.01.1
56.8→55.7
Auto19.5
Teleop25.5
End11.0
red by 7.1
610
#11
48.90.2
48.5→48.6
Auto10.7
Teleop27.9
End10.3
Third
5912
#26
23.41.1
24.3→23.2
Auto8.7
Teleop12.4
End2.3
red by 2.4
3560
#27
21.00.2
20.6→20.8
Auto8.4
Teleop8.9
End3.7