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Quarterfinal 2-32016 Waterloo Regional
Red113
467848.9
128534.4
503321.7
Blue140
403944.1
461835.2
373922.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14213250100200250113140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4678
#6
48.90.3
49.2→48.9
Auto13.9
Teleop28.3
End6.7
red by 4.8
4039
#9
44.10.2
44.3→44.4
Auto15.6
Teleop23.3
End5.2
Second
1285
#5
34.40.3
34.7→34.4
Auto8.5
Teleop19.1
End6.9
blue by 0.8
4618
#7
35.20.2
35.4→35.5
Auto7.7
Teleop21.3
End6.2
Third
5033
#17
21.70.3
22.0→21.7
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End4.2
blue by 0.9
3739
#18
22.60.2
22.7→22.9
Auto6.2
Teleop14.1
End2.3