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Quarterfinal 4-12016 Waterloo Regional
Red207
61048.9
124162.1
356021.0
Blue152
491734.7
540640.9
452523.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17311250100150200250207152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#4
62.10.8
59.0→59.8
Auto16.0
Teleop37.9
End8.2
red by 21.2
5406
#10
40.90.2
40.7→40.9
Auto8.1
Teleop25.8
End7.0
Second
610
#11
48.90.8
45.8→46.6
Auto10.7
Teleop27.9
End10.3
red by 14.2
4917
#12
34.70.2
34.5→34.6
Auto15.2
Teleop16.6
End2.8
Third
3560
#27
21.00.8
18.0→18.7
Auto8.4
Teleop8.9
End3.7
blue by 2.7
4525
#24
23.70.2
23.5→23.7
Auto6.1
Teleop12.4
End5.3