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Qual 242016 Waterloo Regional
Red102
548318.0
503219.7
205660.4
Blue70
494030.2
128534.4
493923.6
79%Model gave it21%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1108220406010012014016018010270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#2
60.40.7
63.5→62.8
Auto17.6
Teleop31.7
End11.1
red by 26.0
1285
#5
34.40.9
32.4→31.5
Auto8.5
Teleop19.1
End6.9
Second
5032
#19
19.71.2
19.7→18.5
Auto3.9
Teleop12.3
End3.5
blue by 10.4
4940
#14
30.21.5
29.7→28.2
Auto7.3
Teleop16.2
End6.6
Third
5483
#21
18.01.2
19.4→18.2
Auto4.1
Teleop11.4
End2.5
blue by 5.6
4939
#25
23.60.9
21.6→20.6
Auto3.0
Teleop15.6
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed