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Qual 262016 Waterloo Regional
Red110
503321.7
540640.9
461835.2
Blue145
61048.9
205660.4
494324.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8314550100200110145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5406
#10
40.91.4
38.5→39.9
Auto8.1
Teleop25.8
End7.0
blue by 19.5
2056
#2
60.40.4
62.8→62.4
Auto17.6
Teleop31.7
End11.1
Second
4618
#7
35.21.4
32.1→33.5
Auto7.7
Teleop21.3
End6.2
blue by 13.6
610
#11
48.90.4
44.1→43.6
Auto10.7
Teleop27.9
End10.3
Third
5033
#17
21.72.3
18.9→21.2
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End4.2
blue by 2.7
4943
#22
24.30.7
24.4→23.7
Auto5.8
Teleop14.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
10%Capture oddsEarned27%Capture oddsMissed