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Qual 312016 Waterloo Regional
Red55
515818.9
394920.8
494030.2
Blue110
136021.1
128534.4
356021.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706505010015055110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4940
#14
30.21.4
26.1→24.7
Auto7.3
Teleop16.2
End6.6
blue by 4.3
1285
#5
34.41.4
31.6→33.0
Auto8.5
Teleop19.1
End6.9
Second
3949
#29
20.81.4
21.5→20.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.2
End2.8
blue by 0.3
1360
#16
21.12.3
18.0→20.3
Auto5.1
Teleop12.2
End3.8
Third
5158
#23
18.91.4
20.0→18.6
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End3.4
blue by 2.1
3560
#27
21.02.3
14.7→17.0
Auto8.4
Teleop8.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsEarned55%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed6%Capture oddsMissed