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Qual 412016 Waterloo Regional
Red81
548318.0
394920.8
368348.3
Blue95
373922.6
503219.7
270237.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92680204060801001201401608195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3683
#3
48.30.3
47.6→47.3
Auto13.1
Teleop24.0
End11.1
red by 11.2
2702
#15
37.11.5
35.7→37.1
Auto11.2
Teleop19.4
End6.5
Second
3949
#29DQ
20.80.5
20.9→20.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.2
End2.8
blue by 1.8
3739
#18
22.61.5
21.5→23.0
Auto6.2
Teleop14.1
End2.3
Third
5483
#21
18.00.4
17.1→16.6
Auto4.1
Teleop11.4
End2.5
blue by 1.7
5032
#19
19.71.6
12.6→14.1
Auto3.9
Teleop12.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned54%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed