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Qual 462016 Waterloo Regional
Red131
368348.3
491734.7
493923.6
Blue98
373922.6
403944.1
394920.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1068740608010012014016013198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3683
#3
48.32.0
47.3→49.3
Auto13.1
Teleop24.0
End11.1
red by 4.1
4039
#9
44.10.7
43.7→44.4
Auto15.6
Teleop23.3
End5.2
Second
4917
#12
34.72.0
31.3→33.3
Auto15.2
Teleop16.6
End2.8
red by 12.1
3739
#18
22.61.0
23.0→24.0
Auto6.2
Teleop14.1
End2.3
Third
4939
#25
23.62.0
21.9→23.9
Auto3.0
Teleop15.6
End5.1
red by 2.8
3949
#29DQ
20.81.0
20.5→21.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
12%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed