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Qual 582016 Waterloo Regional
Red104
467848.9
316114.3
551913.9
Blue102
503219.7
461835.2
491734.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75874060100120140104102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4678
#6
48.91.4
47.7→49.1
Auto13.9
Teleop28.3
End6.7
red by 13.7
4618
#7
35.21.3
33.0→34.3
Auto7.7
Teleop21.3
End6.2
Second
3161
#28
14.31.4
13.5→14.9
Auto1.9
Teleop11.5
End0.9
blue by 20.4
4917
#12
34.71.3
32.9→34.2
Auto15.2
Teleop16.6
End2.8
Third
5519
#30
13.91.6
13.6→15.1
Auto1.3
Teleop9.9
End2.7
blue by 5.8
5032
#19
19.71.6
17.0→18.6
Auto3.9
Teleop12.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsMissed16%Capture oddsMissed