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Qual 72016 Waterloo Regional
Red82
136021.1
394920.8
467848.9
Blue106
452523.7
86524.6
540640.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions609205015082106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4678
#6
48.91.5
28.6→30.1
Auto13.9
Teleop28.3
End6.7
red by 8.0
5406
#10
40.90.7
35.7→36.4
Auto8.1
Teleop25.8
End7.0
Second
1360
#16
21.11.5
17.4→18.9
Auto5.1
Teleop12.2
End3.8
blue by 3.5
865
#20
24.60.7
27.6→28.3
Auto5.5
Teleop15.3
End3.8
Third
3949
#29
20.81.5
17.5→19.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.2
End2.8
blue by 2.9
4525
#24
23.70.8
21.7→22.5
Auto6.1
Teleop12.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsEarned82%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed