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Red97
588321.7
497636.9
130545.6
Blue73
613517.8
490223.8
434328.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1024801502009773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.60.3
44.944.6
Auto8.5
Teleop32.5
End4.7
red by 17.4
4343
#19
28.21.0
21.422.4
Auto7.3
Teleop16.0
End4.9
Second
36.90.3
29.629.3
Auto11.1
Teleop19.5
End6.3
red by 13.0
4902
#32
23.81.2
19.921.1
Auto8.9
Teleop12.1
End2.8
Third
5883
#38
21.70.4
16.516.1
Auto9.2
Teleop8.7
End3.8
red by 3.9
6135
#45
17.81.5
13.414.9
Auto6.9
Teleop8.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned41%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed