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Qual 172016 Windsor Essex Great Lakes Regional
Red48
459511.7
540824.0
620227.8
Blue102
285234.4
568913.4
467851.0
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45100015048102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6202
#20
27.80.4
16.9→16.5
Auto6.1
Teleop16.9
End4.8
blue by 23.2
4678
#5
51.00.5
47.2→47.7
Auto16.0
Teleop29.5
End5.5
Second
5408
#28
24.00.4
18.1→17.7
Auto8.2
Teleop13.0
End2.9
blue by 10.3
2852
#11
34.40.6
28.1→28.7
Auto9.8
Teleop20.3
End4.2
Third
4595
#51
11.70.4
16.6→16.2
Auto3.7
Teleop6.8
End1.2
blue by 1.7
5689
#43
13.40.9
14.0→14.8
Auto0.9
Teleop9.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
31%Breach oddsMissed84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed