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Red44
499217.5
357117.5
568913.4
Blue35
490223.8
492112.6
493220.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5152304060704435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4992
#48
17.50.4
17.617.2
Auto4.0
Teleop10.1
End3.5
blue by 6.3
4902
#32
23.81.1
21.120.0
Auto8.9
Teleop12.1
End2.8
Second
3571
#14
17.50.6
19.619.0
Auto3.1
Teleop12.8
End1.6
blue by 2.5
4932
#49
20.01.7
15.914.2
Auto6.8
Teleop9.1
End4.1
Third
5689
#43
13.40.6
12.511.8
Auto0.9
Teleop9.0
End3.4
red by 0.8
4921
#36
12.61.7
13.411.7
Auto2.0
Teleop9.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsMissed51%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed