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Red56
260934.1
459511.7
492314.9
Blue67
468822.1
588321.7
542626.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions694701001502002505667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2609
#27
34.10.7
31.230.6
Auto11.3
Teleop18.8
End4.0
red by 7.6
5426
#17
26.50.9
17.718.6
Auto8.1
Teleop11.8
End6.5
Second
4923
#50
14.90.9
15.514.6
Auto6.1
Teleop8.6
End0.3
blue by 7.2
22.10.9
15.716.6
Auto6.5
Teleop13.1
End2.5
Third
4595
#51
11.70.9
17.516.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.8
End1.2
blue by 10.0
5883
#38
21.75.2
21.716.5
Auto9.2
Teleop8.7
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
60%Breach oddsMissed37%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed