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Red69
494035.0
588528.4
491419.5
Blue105
542626.5
467851.0
493618.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70932040608012014016069105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4940
#23
35.00.1
33.333.1
Auto9.5
Teleop16.9
End8.7
blue by 16.0
51.01.2
48.749.9
Auto16.0
Teleop29.5
End5.5
Second
5885
#13
28.40.2
20.520.2
Auto5.5
Teleop18.1
End4.8
red by 1.9
5426
#17
26.52.0
21.923.8
Auto8.1
Teleop11.8
End6.5
Third
4914
#30
19.50.1
17.417.3
Auto9.8
Teleop6.8
End3.0
red by 1.0
4936
#41
18.51.2
16.717.8
Auto3.5
Teleop13.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsEarned83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsEarned