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Red134
205668.6
616217.8
468822.1
Blue51
67716.2
107523.6
588321.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1114105010015013451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.61.4
62.864.2
Auto19.2
Teleop35.6
End13.7
red by 45.0
1075
#44
23.60.3
22.021.8
Auto8.1
Teleop12.1
End3.4
Second
22.12.4
19.221.6
Auto6.5
Teleop13.1
End2.5
red by 0.4
5883
#38
21.70.4
15.615.1
Auto9.2
Teleop8.7
End3.8
Third
6162
#39
17.82.4
15.517.9
Auto1.8
Teleop12.6
End3.5
red by 1.7
677
#40
16.20.4
12.411.9
Auto8.1
Teleop6.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned47%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
10%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed