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Red104
205668.6
375612.6
613024.6
Blue145
130545.6
91040.1
77233.6
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9412650150200104145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.60.2
64.264.4
Auto19.2
Teleop35.6
End13.7
red by 23.0
45.60.5
48.748.2
Auto8.5
Teleop32.5
End4.7
Second
6130
#34
24.60.4
17.718.1
Auto7.9
Teleop11.9
End4.7
blue by 15.5
910
#1
40.10.5
35.935.4
Auto14.4
Teleop20.9
End4.8
Third
3756
#52
12.60.4
13.814.1
Auto6.4
Teleop4.7
End1.5
blue by 21.0
772
#22
33.60.5
33.032.5
Auto12.3
Teleop17.1
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsMissed95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsMissed17%Capture oddsMissed